Day: September 29, 2010

Tropical Storm Nicole which was poorly organized has been degraded to nothing but an elongated area of low pressure. This low pressure system will continue to have plenty of rain and there are some area of strong winds. A new strong non- tropical low pressure system with gale force winds is expected to develop to the Southeast U.S. Coast sometime tonight. The new low is not considered to be the remnants of Ex-Nicole. The heavy rainfall that is associated with the remnants of ex-Nicole are going to continue affecting portions of Eastern Cuba, and also Central & Northwestern Bahamas. Florida will see a gradual decrease in the rainfall tonight.

Tropical Depression Sixteen has been upgraded to Tropical Storm Nicole as of the 11am Advisory. Although there has been an increase in the convection with bands of thunderstorms that are closer to the center of circulation in the southeastern quadrant, Nicole is not that organized. All warnings and watches for Florida have been discontinued. As it was discussed yesterday, all the strongest winds and convection are east of the center of circulation. Nicole is forecast to become extratropical within 24 hours and head northeastward along the U.S. East coast. Heavy rains will be the dominant event over Cuba, and also in the mountainous areas of Jamaica. Florida will continue to get some rain, but most of the rain will be offshore.

There are a few models that are forecasting a new system will develop in the western Caribbean, but there is no genesis for this at this time.